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2024-12-13 04:50:51

A-shares have gone out of the upward trend today, but the heat of the market has not improved, and the wait-and-see mood is relatively strong. Then why should the main force continue to pull up the market index, whether to start the second wave of market, or to change the size, or to pull up and attract more? On these three questions, I said my own point of view.Second, the plate rotation is too fast, and no new leading plate can be found.In the past year or two, the theme of A-shares was foreign investment and RMB appreciation. This concept has been going on until now, including today. However, Tuesday's favorable policy proposed to implement monetary easing, which indicates that the RMB exchange rate is expected to depreciate or begin to depreciate, and the concept of A-shares has been speculated to the end. After all, after several years, few people believe it, and it can only be played by big players themselves. The participation of retail investors is not high, and the big index stocks are at historical highs.


First, basically similar to April and May this year, the market will surprise everyone from time to time and hit a new high.The volume pile is shrinking, the volume and price deviate, and the market index deviates. The rise at this stage is ship pulled, and now the market fully meets these characteristics.Third, there is no need to do size conversion for the current A-shares.


There have been three shrinking volume piles. I posted a picture for you in the article the day before yesterday. You can have a look. Through the judgment of volume, it is concluded that 3494 points is a high point, because there is no volume to support the rise, which belongs to the nature of attracting more and ship pulled.After October 8, the artificial intelligence sector saw a huge increase. The sector began to rise on October 14, and by Tuesday, the total increase reached 37%. This did not count the increase before October 8. If you add it up, the increase will exceed 50%. At this time, you will absorb on dips. Where is this low? At this stage, the increase of the securities sector also reached 16%.In fact, under the big roof on October 8, this has no practical significance, mainly to attract more, stabilize the stuck chips, and what must be done is to find a new receiver, because residents' deposits remain high.

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